Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k: A Deep Dive

Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k: A Deep Dive

Pre-tax 401k or Roth 401k, which is better? This is a question we received from a listener. We dig into what goes behind your decision and nerd out the math. 

Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k: A Deep Dive

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The Question: Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k: Which is Better?

We received a question from Alicia. She writes, “I’m a 30-year-old single filer starting a new job. I will be making approximately $140,000 per year, including a $20,000 per year variable bonus. This puts me in the 24% marginal tax bracket. I need to complete 401k options. Which account type do you think will be most beneficial for me in the long run?”

What Goes Into Your Decision?

Here are the big factors that impact your decision:

Retirement Income

Most people use their 401k to create retirement income. Distributions from pre-tax contributions are 100% taxable. This means any of the growth and the contributions that you made, are taxed as ordinary income. Roth contributions are not taxed, and the growth on those Roth contributions is not taxed.

Required Minimum Distributions

At age 72, you must take a minimum amount from your pre-tax 401k contributions each year. (This also includes your employer match.) Even if you do not need the income, you still must take them or face severe penalties.

The Roth 401k does not have required minimum distributions. Nothing forces you to take a certain amount each year. You simply take the amount you need for living expenses.

Hidden Tax Costs

Social Security

If you are using a pre-tax 401k, it will impact the taxation of your Social Security benefits. Once you reach a certain income level, 85% of your Social Security benefits get taxed. When you use the Roth 401k, those distributions do not count towards those income limits. The income from your Roth 401(k) will not increase the taxes on your Social Security benefits.

Medicare

Medicare Part B premiums are subject to Income Related Monthly Adjustment Amounts (IRMAA). Distributions from your pre-tax 401k can make your out-of-pocket Part B premiums higher. Income from a Roth account will not raise the cost of your Medicare Part B premiums.

Estate Planning

Alicia’s heirs will have to withdraw funds from her pre-tax 401k over 10 years. They will pay income taxes on the full amount they inherit. If she leaves behind a Roth 401k, they will also have to withdraw funds from the account over 10 years. But, they will not have to pay taxes on those distributions.

Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k: Math

Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k

Current Tax Benefits

Here are the income tax effects of the pre-tax and Roth 401k contributions.

Pre-Tax 401k or Roth 401k

She will save $208,974 in income taxes by using the pre-tax 401k over 35 years of working. This is a significant savings.

Projecting The Accumulation Amount

Over a 35-year working career, a 10% salary deferral projects to total contributions of $696,000. The growth of those deferrals over the same timeframe is significant. Using a 7% average annual return, we estimate her account will grow to $2.4 million.

If she uses the Roth 401k, every penny is tax free. If she uses the pre-tax option, it is all taxable.

Generating Income

What happens when she starts taking income from retirement? We assume she will take $100,000 gross income with an effective tax rate of 20%. In the initial stages of her retirement, she has $80,000 of net income. If she uses a pre-tax 401k, she pays $20,000 per year in total taxes.

At age 72 required minimum distributions begin. She must withdraw money from the account whether she needs it for living expenses or not. The percentage you take out increases each year, too.

If she lives to be age 90, she will pay over $760,000 of total income tax. This is a lot more than what she would have saved over the course of her working years.

Here is how the Roth 401k changes things. She takes $80,000 per year for the first few years. This is the net same net income. We projected the same net distributions from the Roth account. There are zero taxes paid over that timeframe.

Impact on Accumulation Values

This also can impact the accumulation value. To get the same net income, you must withdraw less from the Roth 401k. The balance has a better ability to grow. The difference at age 90 between the Roth 401k and Pre-Tax 401k in our example is $1.5 million.

Changing the Math—Investing the Tax Savings

What is Alicia going to do with the tax savings? Will she be disciplined and save it in something like a backdoor Roth IRA? Or will she spend it on her living expenses. Investing her tax savings can change the math.

If Alicia was to invest her tax savings, she’s going to have nearly $600,000 more for retirement. Using the “backdoor Roth” means the future income will be tax free. Because she is using the pre-tax 401k, she will have to pay taxes on the income from this portion of her assets.

Retirement Income

If she takes the same net income as the other example, this is what happens. She uses the Roth account to generate income in the first six years. This means she has no tax liability for the income.

At age 72, required minimum distributions from the pre-tax account enter the picture. This means that she must start taking a large sum of money from the pre-tax 401k. Over the course of her retirement, we project she will pay over $788,000 in total income taxes.

This uses current tax rates. If tax rates increase, her tax bill will be much higher.

Accumulation Values

How does it impact the long-term accumulation values? We projected the Roth 401k to grow to about $4.5 Million. Using the pre-tax 401k and backdoor Roth IRA, we estimate an additional $500,000 more at age 90.

Accumulation Values

If she’s disciplined enough to save the tax savings, you can argue for using the pre-tax 401k and backdoor Roth IRA. Otherwise, the Roth 401k works better over the long run.

The effect of compounding over decades is huge. And the tax-free amount that compounds in those accounts is a significant benefit.

 

If you have questions about how this could affect you, talk to a Certified Financial Planner Pro.

Talk to a Certified Financial Planner™ Professional

 


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About the Author

Neal Watson is a Certified Financial Planner™ Professional and a Financial Advisor with Fleming Watson Financial Advisors.    He specializes in helping hard working, middle class families plan for retirement.

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