4 Ways The Pandemic Could Impact Social Security

4 Ways the Pandemic Could Impact Social Security

Social Security is the cornerstone of retirement income for many Americans.  Have you wondered if the Coronavirus outbreak will impact your benefits? Here are four ways the pandemic could impact Social Security.

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4 Ways the Pandemic Could Impact Social Security

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The Covid-19 Pandemic and the Economy

The Covid-19 virus has turned the world and the economy on its head. The financial impacts are being felt far and wide. We have record unemployment claims, with nearly 22 million people out of work–so far. And Pew Research estimates 27% of American workers have seen their pay reduced.  Government response has also been extreme.  All of that will impact the future.

Most of the media focus has been on how this outbreak has impacted current workers. But it can also affect retirees. Here are four ways the pandemic could impact your Social Security benefits.

pandemic social security impact

Social Security does provide an inflation-adjusted income stream. But over the past several years those average increases have not been all that great. In some years, it hasn’t been enough to cover the increase in Medicare premiums. 

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the current 10-year inflation expectation is less than 1.2% per year. If those projections hold, it means small benefit increases. In some years, it could mean your net check decreases due to rising Medicare costs.

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Pandemic Impacts Social Security

Depending on how long the economic shutdown lasts, many older workers could be forced to retire earlier than they expected. For many, this forces them to start Social Security earlier than their normal retirement age. And those discounts could be close to 30%.  

Social Security Impact pandemic

Social Security uses Average Indexed Wages to compute your Social Security benefits. The economic downturn means total wages earned in 2020 will be less. They could be a lot less.

This could impact how they compute your Social Security benefits. The end-result could be a smaller monthly payment. This will most likely impact those who are close to age 60.

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Pandemic Impacts Social Security

Right now, fewer payroll taxes are being collected. This places an extra strain on an already stressed system.

Prior to the pandemic, Social Security looked to be solvent until 2034. This means they had enough to pay the promised benefits. But the reduced tax collections could mean the problems could happen a year sooner.

Unless there are major changes, when Social Security reaches this point, benefits will have to be reduced.

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Far Reaching Impact

The coronavirus pandemic has affected more than our health. It has had a significant impact on many areas of our economy. And this includes your Social Security benefits.

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Financial Planning

About the Author

Neal Watson is a Certified Financial Planner™ Professional and a Financial Advisor with Fleming Watson Financial Advisors.    He specializes in helping hard working, middle class families plan for retirement.

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How Does Your Age Affect Your Retirement?

Last week we asked the question, “Will your retirement savings last 23 years?”  Today we ask, how does your age affect your retirement?

Video: How Does Your Age Affect Your Retirement?

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How Does Your Age Affect Social Security?

We are eligible to begin Social Security retirement benefits at age 62. But if we retire before our normal retirement age, our benefits get discounted. The discount can be as much as 30%.
 
Delaying Social Security beyond normal retirement age means larger benfeits. Each year we delay, our benefits increase by 8%.
 
The income you need from savings depends on how much Social Security you receive. If you get less from Social Security, you need more investment income. When your investment income gets too high, you increase the risk of running out of money.
How Does Your Age affect Your Retirement

A Case Study: John and Patty

John and Patty are both 60 years old. They have accumulated $330,000 in their retirement accounts. Between contributions and earnings, their accounts should grow by $15,000 each year.

At normal retirement age, John will receive $2,000 per month in Social Security benefits. Patty will receive $1,500.

Remember, every year everything you buy costs more.  So John and Patty will need more income later in retirement.  

Let’s see how the age they choose to retire impacts the financial parts of their retirement.

how does your age affect your retirement

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Age 62 WD Rate
A 6.5% Withdrawal rate is high. It increases the risk of running out of money.
 
What happens if they wait?
Age 65

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Age 67 WD Rate

Better, But Still Not Ideal

Waiting an additional 3 years does two things.  It reduces the Social Security discount.  And, it gives them a chance to save more.

As a result, they need less income from their savings. And because they have more in savings, the withdrawal rate is better.  But it still isn’t ideal.

Age 67

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Age 67 WD Rate

That's Much Better

Now both John and Patty receive their full Social Security benefit.  And the additional years of compounding also help.  Now the withdrawal rate is 4%, which has a higher probability of success.

For good measure, let’s look at what happens if they wait until age 70.

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Age 70 WD Rate

How Does Your Age Affect Your Retirement?

Time can be your greatest asset. And this is especially true if you aren’t as prepared for retirement as you hoped to be.

Early retirement discounts in Social Security benefits work against you. It places more responsibility on your nest egg for your income needs. And we believe the biggest threat to your retirement savings is your withdrawal rate.  

If you are able, working a few extra years should improve your retirement picture.  Those early retirement discounts disappear.  And the extra time you have to save won’t hurt either.

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